Vegas Over/Under: 48.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 48-34
The Bet: Avoid but lean under
Even though the Toronto Raptors’ offseason could be deemed a positive because they were able to retain Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka, they did not escape scot-free.
Cory Joseph and DeMarre Carroll were exchanged away to new places, which puts a lot more strain on Delon Wright and new signing C.J. Miles to fill the shoes of the deceased contributors.
Luckily, they ought to have the ability to.
Joseph wasn’t especially successful in Toronto, and Wright has significantly more upside as Lowry’s primary backup. And following Carroll proved a bust on his new contract, Miles should fit in with his spot-up prowess and willingness to do the little things well.
All these are strong but largely lateral motions, containing high floors but little more than hints in loftier ceilings.
The Raptors went 51-31 last year, which was a true representation of the skills.
But regression is coming–not because of roster moves, but rather gamers slipping down in the leaguewide pecking order. Lowry is another year removed from his 30th birthday (bad news for a point guard), Ibaka is no spring chicken and the group is relying on even more childhood for its depth, which might result in some inconsistent showings.
Toronto should still end towards the top of the Eastern Conference; our projections have them at No. 4. But pushing for 50 wins may be asking a bit much.
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