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NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR Program kicks into high gear Sunday with All the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET for your 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite from the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR in Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who both finished in the top four last week in the Daytona 500. Before you make your 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, make sure you check out the projected leaderboard in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and current results into account.

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It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top contender from the start. Anyone who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his version simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we could inform you the version is top on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a lengthy history at Atlanta, but he’s had success there at all three of his starts at the track since joining the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He’s finished inside the top 10 in each of those races and even got a top-five end in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five endings at Atlanta at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his dad, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level at Atlanta Motor Speedway five occasions in his career, so it is something of a house monitor for the 23-year-old. The model anticipates him to ride that edge towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the version: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up began on the rod in this race a year before, but ended up finishing in seventh place. The year before, he had another quick ride and started the race in third, but ended up in 16th.

Since his win at Atlanta at 2013, Busch has only conducted 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he’s finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values in this affluent 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you will want to pay for him.

The model can be targeting three other drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Atlanta chances of 10-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots could hit it big.

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