Media”Pros”
The sport of soccer can be made to seem very complex. How many people can really specify a”West Coast offense?” How many can correctly recognize a”zone blitz,” or a”nickel” or”dime” defense?
NFL analysts at the media have fast answers to all these questions. They’ve a listing of every player and his record at their hands. They have staff-written replicate on hand to describe all kinds of sport strategies. They have arrays of data to cover any circumstance.
Due to the networking, pro football is a sport of virtually no concealed information. However, it is one thing to describe an event that is already over. It’s something different entirely to attempt to predict that which has yet to happen.
When the media try to predict game results, they tend to perform poorly. To give just a few examples from nyc, where I live, every Friday eleven New York Post authors create predictions on NFL games against the spread. I have never seen these handicappers consistently pick the 52.4% winners necessary to conquer the 11-to-10 odds sports bettors must give. In reality, nearly every year for the past 20 years the consensus in the Post has finished below 50 percent.
One of the Post handicappers often mentions trends in his handicapping evaluation –how teams do on turf or grass, as favorites or underdogs, etc.. But trends are for the most part useless nowadays since teams change so fast as a result of free agency. What does it matter whether a team is 12-and-4 on road turf throughout the previous five years if only three of its players have been there that long?
On the radio, WFAN commentators also make predictions every Friday. However they also have seldom picked the 52.4 percentage winners needed to conquer the 11-to-10. To pay this, they often speak about their documents in regard to the .500 mark. The vig seems not to exist in the world of WFAN.
And on television, ESPN’s Hank Goldberg has conquered the 11-to-10 in just one of the seven years he has been there.
From personal experience, I’ve discovered that many TV manufacturers and newspaper editors see sports as entertainment instead of serious journalism. That is why you, as a critical handicapper, should take media predictions using a big grain of salt.
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