This weekend, we’ve got an 11-fight card in Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some decent contests for us to acquire a lot of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they have a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I will try to get my 3rd seat this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $30k decoration, then I will probably take a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is an easy pile in cash week. I believe we easily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. Additionally, it guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned several times in the past, we do not need 6 wins in money games, therefore play those type of games safer and all you’ve got to do is conquer half the field. Normally 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to money in most cash games. Even if you’ve got a strong lean with this fight I recommend stacking.
GPP drama of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik gets the highest ITD lineup on the card at -140 and he can hit 100+ DK points from getting that in round 1. The worry here would be him being on his back in around 1 and scoring zero points during that and then going out and obtaining a KO in round 2. Or no KO at all. Both of those would take him away the optimal lineup so we want this fight to stay standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that’s extremely possible and he will be a heart GPP drama of mine . He is not the greatest cash game play however because he could be put on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the battle like that. I am OK with him cash, but I won’t be making a priority like I’m being obese in GPPs.
Underdog play of the week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This betting line is about pickem’ with a small lean towards Dos Santos. But, Ewell is your favorite on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so that he to score highly he is likely going to want a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength however. Ewell has a hard time staying off his back and if ADS can place him he could possibly submit him. He could rack up numerous takedowns for a high decision rating. I enjoy the value we’re getting on him $7.9k and that I like he should be looking to grapple in this particular fight. That’s why I needed to pick him as my puppy of this week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There aren’t any real easy fades this week. I do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she seems to be only a striker and I think Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to success is through grappling. If Kondo is not in a striking match for 15-minutes I really don’t see how she scores highly unless she receives a finish. I don’t think she has KO power, therefore I believe it’s purely the substantial strikes and the triumph bonus that we would be relying here. I’d rather have a fighter with a opportunity to finish or who’s more likely to grapple. That’s exactly why Kondo is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I’m 81-51 for +251.89un (+$25,189) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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