The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come with statement victories into this Saturdays game.
LSU beat the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp previous weekend. But during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams seem to take more than a top-four place in the race .
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. Since he went 11 with three INTs into creating decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. This includes the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs around BetNow , the Gators come in Together with the roar of Death Valley anticipating. Would the No. 5 defense keep this near and cover the spread? Or will also the No. 2 passing crime and Burrow keep rolling and win the bet? Heres the complete breakdown.
Theres very little doubt in Burrows ability . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the very best receiving groups in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some big games. Chase is a physical existence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who can fill the area. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the roughest DB unit they have played with . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the other opponents of LSU: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida currently sits in 33rd, though its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of Burrows standard. They have played with two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a lot of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on irregular so far in the other corner spot, but nonetheless has a high ceiling as a cover guy.
Burrow will also confront a, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as best pass-rusher coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing lineup while his awareness must enhance in the pocket. Auburns is arguably the finest in the country, and ranks 11th in line yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and can be 85th in bag speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask off his game. The Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not outside of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
With all the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit needs to produce big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most regarded as DBU for the gift they have on the perimeter of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
On the opposing side of him will likely be Kristian Fulton, who let the least amount of downs last year out of returning FBS corners. Although this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, it will be given an opportunity against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, that hasnt got their running game going yet this year. Last weekend broke a tackle at the line on his approach into a 88-yard TD run. Despite that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th based on yards and can be going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front may not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and thats like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut out the Kentucky game.
It places ways too much strain on Trask in a hostile atmosphere, if they dont buy Perine or Dameon Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned respect after week from the school football world. And while I do not expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this game staying most.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is just one of the more smart QBs from the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or something near this against a defense whos proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
As the staff has relied on them, the Gators defense will probably wear out over time. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic against the Chase or Jefferson to some PIs.
However, I dont anticipate this. Keeping the game in a lot of a slog until then makes Florida the proper wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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